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Assessing the future of the Arab-Israeli conflict

In the many years of unrest and warfare that have gone on in the middle-east over the ownership and domination of what some call Israel, some Palestine, it appears that very little actual intelligence and drive to find an effective solution to the conflict have been employed. For all the accords, summits, peace processes, reconciliation meetings and the like, nothing has happened to generate lasting change at the bargaining table. Likewise, for all the suicide/martyr bombings, all the stone throwing, all the rhetoric from western advocates and all the Israeli retaliation, no actual advancements towards transformation have taken place through warfare. However, no real advancement can be expected from warfare unless the complete annihilation of one side or the other is the objective, which would be out of the question for the more intelligent members of the conflict and impossible for those who actually want to see it happen. Violent action is only in retaliation or preemption to real or perceived threats from the other side. No lasting solution can be expected or even thought possible through such reactions. However, no real change can be expected as an outcome of the weak attempts at negotiations that have, with out benefit, continued to take place. These too can be thought of as reactions or preemptions; however, in this case, they are intended for outside observers or as a fig leaf to cover the impotence of any real attempt at finding a solution.

If a real solution is intended, it appears that intelligence must be exercised on the part of the entity(s) who wants the solution. The constant touting of the possibility of a two state solution shows that either the two sides are just really stupid or a real solution is not the objective because there is simply too much evidence to be gained from just a casual glance at the situation to support any illusions of the possibility of a two state solution.

In order for a two state solution to become real there would have to be stability and relative peace between the two. There will be no such thing unless both sides are relatively well off as is supported by many examples of poorer numbers dragging down economically powerful states and causing instability in the region. Burma and Thailand is one example as is the US/Mexico border. Unless complete separation between the states is achieved, which is unlikely. There will always be some movement of population, mostly from the poorer state to the richer, which will contribute


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Assessing the future of the Arab-Israeli conflict

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