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Like so many other issues, the debate rages and yet the real issue goes hidden. It's not a matter of whether Israel SHOULD stage a preemptive first strike, it is really a matter or when WILL Israel strike and who will benefit?

Iran has been goading Israel on, looking for an opportunity to strike. Iran needs a pretext for bringing this war to Israel's door; a preemptive strike will be just the pretext. By increasing anti-Israeli rhetoric and constantly calling for the destruction of the nation of Israel Ahmadinejad has played upon Arab-Israeli hostilities.

Israel, for her part wants to secure her own borders. I rabid wolf like Iran at her neck doesn't exactly scream tranquility and safety. Israel launched a preemptive strike against Syria recently with a hardly masked warning against Iran that Iran will be next. A preemptive strike is Israel's MO.

The United States, also looking for a pretext for war against Iran, encouraged Israel's Syrian strike while publicly condemning it. The United States wants to keep an image of trying to maintain peace between Israel and Iran while encouraging the causes belli that a preemptive strike will undoubtedly prove.

Then there is Russia. An unlikely player in this little drama that recently made some very large claims. Russia has been militarizing itself and preparing for war. Putin has used increasingly hostile rhetoric and rigged the recent elections to ensure his continued power.

And Russia just tested a little thing it calls the "Dad of all Bombs." Don't worry everyone, this bomb is non-nuclear and therefore environmentally friendly, unfortunately, as the most power non-nuclear bomb in the world, those that suffer from its blast will be in no position to worry about the environment.

Russia's involvement really became serious when shortly after the development of this devise Russia declared that any attack against Iran would be considered an attack against Russia and on Russian soil.

It's been no small secret that Russia and Iran have been becoming very close in recent times, with Russia helping to modernize Iran's military. The fact that Iran has long ago ceased its nuclear program means nothing in the light that Russia could arm Iran with nuclear devices in a matter of days.

Iran is not the only Arab nation that Russia has become friendly with recently. Russia has become the favorite option of Arabic nations that oppose Israel.

So, should Israel launch a preemptive strike against Iran? NO! But Israel likely will. And when she does it will be the beginning of a major conflict unlike any the world has seen.

Learn more about this author, Daniel Xiao Wang.
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