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The short answer is that Labour can most definitely win the next election. Gordon Brown's first few months in office have consistently produced a lead in the opinion polls, which should be of great concern to the Conservative party, who at this point in the cycle should be showing a lead if they hope to from the next Government.

Gordon Brown has had a number of challenges since coming to office in which to prove his competence. Foot and Mouth outbreaks, terrorist attacks and flooding are just a few. He has so far managed to deal with these relatively swiftly and calmly and these 'disasters' have provided him with the best opportunity he will have to show his competence, which stands in stark contrast to David Cameron with relatively little parliamentary experience and a tarnished experience in the executive as advisor to Norman Lamont.

With an uninspiring official opposition, and the bonus of a feable and weak Liberal Democrat party, Labour remains in a strong position. If labour does not rock the boat too much and survives any economic affects arising from the credit crunch problems in financial markets, then i think it is very conceivable that Labour wins the next election. At the very worst a hung parliament is possible, although on current trends it may even be possible for Brown to increase or retain the current Labour majority for a new term.

Of course, a week is a long time in politics and opinion poll leads can rapidly evaporate. The timing of the election and the event in between will determine the outcome, but i would be happy to place a bet on another term of a Labour Government.

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