Barack Obama will never step foot in the White House as President of the United States.

Barack Obama may have the qualities to be a great president. As president, he could bring a unique perspective to the White House. He may even inspire change in the political process and increase involvement in it. It is hard to resist the energy his presence brings to the process. However, I do not believe that, even if he wins the Democratic nomination, he would ever step foot in the White House as President of the United States.

Why would I, an unabashed liberal and life-long democrat argue against an Obama candidacy? Consider

If Obama were to win the Democratic nomination, he would either be discredited or destroyed by the right wing machine that will pound on his weaknesses (no foreign policy experience, no executive experience, only a Senator for less than four years, etc.) with sound bite after sound bite. Or, as with John Kerry, the Republican machine would play on voter fears about how Democrats cannot keep us safe from terrorism or whatever other national security threats our nation faces.

Obama is smart, well reasoned, and articulate. These may sound like positives at first blush, but consider how the electoral college has treated candidates with such traits in the last election. Electoral college voters in solid red states plus Ohio and Florida have too often (of late) rejected the smart, well reasoned, and articulate candidates, favoring the more folksy, idiotic, knee-jerk, staunch, fear mongering, and inarticulate persons. Don't misunderestimate red state electoral college voters.

If these tactics are not having the desired effect, i.e., if Obama were to be leading in the electoral college by gaining New Mexico or Florida and Ohio as well as traditional blue states, Obama will be assassinated. There will be a horrible accident, probably a plane crash or some other event, untraceable to the culprits.

I was excited about Obama at first. But now, I do not see him as a viable candidate for the above reasons. I truly wish it was otherwise.

Learn more about this author, Matthew Spearman.
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