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Ron Paul doesn't have a chance in the Republican primaries, as there is a direct correlation between campaign fundraising and the nomination. In 2004, President Bush raised $270 million in 2004, and Democratic nominee John Kerry almost kept up with Bush at $235 million.

There is no country in the world where elections are so closely impacted by fundraising, and there is no elections that have so much campaign money involved. As 2004 began, Howard Dean raised $40 million; currently, Hilary Clinton (before 2008) has $36 million, and is on track to raise $75 to $100 million this year alone!

While there isn't as much money floating around the Republican side as there currently is on the Democratic side: Democrats have pulled in $159 million versus $96 million for Republicans. Of the Republican leaders, Giuliani is at $17 million, Romney at $14 million, and McCain at $11 million. Interestingly enough, all of the polls that I've seen have the money leaders (Clinton/Obama, Giuliani/Romney) as the leaders in prospective voting: an almost perfect correlation. Paul is not even an afterthought when it comes to fundraising.

Whether you agree with it or not, the correlation between campaign fundraising and election success is almost perfect, which means that Ron Paul doesn't have a chance.

Learn more about this author, Jack Buffington.
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