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Predictions: 2007 New York Mets

New York Mets

Rotation
-
1 Tom Glavine: Not an ace anymore. Expect an ERA right around 4.00.
2 Orlando Hernandez: Still brings the heat. Extreme flyball pitcher.
3 John Maine: Average. Needs to keep his ERA under 4.00 for this team, but probably won't.
4 Oliver Perez: Still waiting for him to return to the "future ace" he looked like. Nothing but a borderline major leaguer.


5 Chan Ho Park: Good control last season. Does not have good stuff. WHIP will be over 1.40.
CL Billy Wagner: Still one of, if not the, best. Career ERA of 2.38 is sick. Expect an ERA around that.
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Lineup
-
C Paul Lo Duca: Worst hitter in the lineup. Little power/ low OBP.
1B Carlos Delgado: A star with the bat. Not real smooth in the field.
2B Jose Valentin: Age will limit his playing time. Holds his own in the field. Average bat.
3B David Wright: MVP candidate. Expect 30 homers/ 20 stolen bases. Strong defense.
SS Jose Reyes: Blinding speed. Put it all together last season. Production will plateau this season.
LF Moises Alou: Will be able to hit until he dies. Has never been able to field.
CF Carlos Beltran: See David Wright.
RF Shawn Green: Milledge can do anything Green can do... just better.
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Conclusion: Milledge should be in the starting lineup. LoDuca still does not deserve to bat second in the order. Beltran, Delgado, and Wright make for a stellar middle of the lineup. There are no glaring weaknesses in the starting lineup. The bench won't make a meaningful contribution. Pelfrey should be starting over Chan Ho Park. The rotation does not have an ace with Pedro hurt. It has three #3 starters, a #4 and a #5 starter in Park. The bullpen features a dominant closer, a durable, valuable reliever in Aaron Heilman, and a few good arms with Pedro Feliciano, Ambiorix Burgos, and Duaner Sanchez.

Projection: 88-74 2nd in the NL East

Learn more about this author, Timothy Moreland.
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