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Changing dynamics for the 2010 Congressional elections: Who's in trouble?

by Kenneth Boser II

Created on: August 31, 2009   Last Updated: September 02, 2009

The 2010 elections are now fourteen (14) months away, and there is always speculation as to which Congressional candidates, both in the House and the Senate, are said to be "in trouble" in danger of losing their seat to a challenger and newcomer onto the political scene in Washington. Though the health care control debate has raged on for more than a month, and while it will be at the center of attention for voters, the Democrat Congressional members seem to be turning the deaf ear to the concerns of their constituents.

Some noteworthy examples include: Arlen Specter, Republican turned Democrat Senator, Pennsylvania. As a Republican, Senator Specter was facing a challenger in Pat Toomey that he has been trailing by double digits and some as high as sixteen (16) points in the most recent polling data released. Fearing a defeat in the Republican primary and based on his willingness to side with Democrats on most issues, Senator Specter decided to change sides and pull a Jim Jeffords stunt by changing political affiliations. Recently however, his disdain for the people of Pennsylvania's outcry against government-run-and-led health care as proposed in H.R. 3200 and the corresponding version the Senate is trying to pass through, demonstrated by aloof reception to the real questions his constituents were asking, has further fouled his name among the electorate of Pennsylvania those who will ultimately decide his fate in November 2010.

Harry Reid, Senate Majority Leader, Nevada. Harry Reid has been notorious for jumping on the far left of the political spectrum, and in a climate where he, like Arlen Specter, is seeing a stiff challenger in the upcoming re-election bid; the numbers aren't in Senator Reid's favor. Coming out of a war in Iraq where Senator Reid openly declared during the George W. Bush years, "The War is lost," Senator Reid has all of a sudden become a proponent of government-rationed care and even proposed fining people the people who already have health insurance with an employer for not switching to the "public option," or government telling you what care you can receive. This is not sitting well with the people of Nevada, and poll numbers show prospective challengers with leads of between 8 and 15 points over Senator Reid.

Christopher Dodd, Democrat Senator, Connecticut. Senator Dodd's problems have arisen outside of the current health-care debacle, and well before hand. At issue are ethics problems Mr. Dodd seems to have with regard to paying fair market value for real estate. Senator Dodd, over his tenure in the Senate, has accepted loans with interest rates well below prime rate (the rate that banks charge other banks for transfers of money) for real estate ventures the most notable to date one such loan from the now-defunct Countrywide Financial. Shortly thereafter, Senator Dodd sought to include a provision in last year's Stimulus package (TARP) to bail out AIG and its new subsidiary Countrywide Financial. Connecticut being a state that leans heavily on the financial sector, that the Senator would engineer a swindle to protect his own while others around him crumble amid financial rubble, the citizens may not so soon forget what bad has come recently of what Senator Dodd has done. Come voting time, Connecticutensians will remember.

Such is a sample of those prominent politicians whose reckless behavior and self-serving attitudes have brought us to the brink of kissing the liberty bequeathed to us by the Founding Fathers away to a new and horrible fate.

Learn more about this author, Kenneth Boser II.
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