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Will the real estate market rebound soon?

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No
56% 342 votes Total: 612 votes
Yes
44% 270 votes

The moment we have all been waiting for, for the past two years has finally arrived! You will not hear about this on the national news yet because the news sources are always well behind when reporting trends. You will hear it from me: a full time investor and on the street veteran agent that is seeing first hand a dramatic change in the face of Las Vegas real estate.

I am here to announce that the bottom of the Las Vegas housing market is here. Let me explain why I believe this to be the case, and why now may be the best time since the great depression to be buying up real estate, especially in the Las Vegas market.

In late 2006 and early 2007 the Las Vegas real estate market hit its all time median price high of around $320,000. Shortly thereafter, the now infamous credit crunch began in late summer 2007 and the entire economy, especially the housing industry, has been reeling backwards ever since. Over the last 18 months, the median home price in the Las Vegas valley has dropped an average of $10,000 per monthsettling in at around $125,000. Prices have literally plummeted by as much as 75% in some segments of the Las Vegas market. And guess what? The free fall is over. They are not going to go down anymore.

I understand that this is a bold claim. But there are several factors that you must evaluate when trying to determine the bottom of a housing market. I have quoted these factors several times over the last two years, and have always maintained that they did not all line up until now. The factors are: 1. The inventory of homes listed on the local Multiple Listing Service (MLS). 2. The number of homes being sold in the marketplace. 3. The average median price of homes. Once the inventory stops increasing, the volume begins trending upward and the median price stabilizes you have found the true bottom of the market.

Looking first at number 1: The inventory of available single family homes in Las Vegas remained relatively stable at about 22,000 homes through much of 2008. This inventory is now at a level of just under 12,000 homes listed on the market ready for sale. Inventory is nearly of its 2008 levels. Homes under $200,000 now have less than 4 months standing inventory. Homes under $100,000 have less than 3 months inventory. A normal healthy inventory is considered a 6 month supply of homes. The inventory of available homes is getting scarily low as Realtors are worried about what to sell if they do not get some fresh foreclosure


Below are the top articles rated and ranked by Helium members on:

Will the real estate market rebound soon?

Yes
  • 1 of 18

    by Glenn Plantone

    The moment we have all been waiting for, for the past two years has finally arrived! You will not hear about this on

    read more

  • 2 of 18

    by Taylor Shay

    The real estate market is an ever-changing entity influenced by many factors. Realistically, the price of homes, especially

    read more

No
  • 1 of 20

    by Rand E Oertle

    A better question than "Will the real estate market rebound soon?" would be, "CAN the real estate market rebound soon?" The

    read more

  • 2 of 20

    by Rene Pharisien

    Real estate prices will not rebound until 2013.

    Housing is cyclical and we had a tremendous 8 year cycle which produced 150%

    read more

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