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In 2007 the United States is paying four billion Dollars per month for the present conflict in Iraq. No one in 2003 expected that 600,000 Iraqis (3% of the Iraqi population) and 3,000 U.S. soldiers would be dead, that 25,000 U.S. soldiers would be seriously injured and that 100 Iraqis would be killed daily in random out of control violence. The Sunni population of Iraq, armed with the requisite money and third level education are fleeing Iraq at the rate of 1,000 per month. The educated Sunnis provided Iraq with leadership since the foundation of the state in 1920. The execution of Saddam Hussein, a Sunni, could have major adverse consequences for Iraq, a country with a small Sunni population, in a majority Shi'ite population and surrounded by majority Sunni population countries like Jordan, Syria, Egypt and Turkey. Iraq is completely out of control, located in the center of a region supplying the Western World with vital oil supplies. A weak Iraq guarantees a strong Iran. Perversely the Al-Sadr militias are as likely to attack Iran as attack the hated U.S. military presence in their country. The unpopularity of the Iranian President amongst University students is well documented, this could be exploited as most under 25 Iranians are pro-Western. Iran's influence on Iraqi Shi'ite could be resented long term. Saddam Hussein's trial did not allow for the details of U.S. and Western European military aid provided to him for the duration of the Iran-Iraq war to be exposed. Hussein could have emulated President Assad who quietly dissolved the Syrian-Lebanese border and took over his neighboring country. Hussein could have retained his Western allies, alas his destruction of Kuwait was his nemesis. The U.S. is left to deal with Iran which is a major threat to the security of Israel. The U.S. could be pressurized by Israel to launch an air strike on Iranian Nuclear Research sites. The U.S. is fully aware of the 1981 Israeli strike on the Iraqi Nuclear site when it was least expected. Israel has the determination as always to deal comprehensively with its own security needs. The Middle in 2007 is more volatile now than before the disastrous 2003 invasion of Iraq. President Bush Sn. was advised in 1991 not to invade Iraq due to the prohibitive costs involved.
The next U.S. President will inherit the present turmoil. Schopenhauer, the 17th Century German Philosopher said all our problems will be resolved in the future.
Will mankind have a secure future?

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