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Why the US presidential election matters to the average American

by James Gambone

Created on: May 14, 2008

Who are the white working class anyhow?

In the aftermath of the Indiana and North Carolina primary, the Clinton campaign held a conference call Wednesday morning (5-7-08) and repeated the claim that Barack Obama is not attracting the white working class vote. This same mantra is repeated over and over by the so called experts and pundits. It goes something like this: without blue collar less educated and primarily white male voters, Obama cannot carry important swing states.

For argument's sake let's accept the claim that the unemployed Pennsylvania or Indiana factory worker with no health care who voted for Hillary in the primary will vote Republican in November if Obama is the nominee. And let's forget the fact that Bill Clinton didn't carry the Reagan democrats in either of his wins.

The claim that Obama doesn't have tremendous support among white working class voters is patently false. Among voters under thirty from all class backgrounds, Obama is winning almost three to one in all primary states. These are young adult voters -not just a bunch of college kids (the youth vote). In fact only about two in ten have any post secondary education. They do however represent two generations that don't subscribe to identity politics defined by race or gender. Millions are single moms, working couples with children and no health care, make under $50,000 a year, have a high school education and worry about their future. There are millions of white men in this group and they are every bit as much working class as anyone described by the Clinton campaign or repeated by news organizations and pundits. And for the Obama campaign, actual research shows the picture only gets better for the November general election.

The young adult working class voter block are participating in record numbers in this primary season in every state. The increased participation of this voter block (potentially 44 million voters) can be seen as the continuation of a trend that began in the Presidential election of 2004, grew in the off- year election of 2006, and now is beginning to look like a significant wave that could be a deciding factor in the 2008 November election. The critics say the rate of young adults voting in 2008 primaries across the country "only" averages about 15% and that is not a much higher overall participation rate than the 2004 general election of 13%. Republican spokespeople particularly are using this analysis to play down the importance of these voters because they are

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